Organic growth review: year to date

How SEO, AI search, conversion and content reshaped acquisition in the first half of 2026, measured against the same period in 2025.

1 Jan to mid-Jun, 2026 vs 2025SEMrushGoogle Search ConsoleGA4AirOpsHubSpotUK market
The headline

Same demand, healthier mix, less paid dependency

Total new contacts held roughly flat year on year (about 16,900 both halves). What changed is where they came from. Paid was cut hard and organic plus earned channels grew to fill the gap. The acquisition base is now cheaper and compounds over time.

~Flat
Total new contacts, year on year
16,902 in 2026 vs 16,925 in 2025. Volume steady; the mix did the moving.
+263%
Organic search first-touch contacts
60 to 218 (HubSpot). Last-touch organic up 68%, 113 to 190.
-38%
Paid search first-touch contacts
2,010 to 1,253. A deliberate pull-back, absorbed by earned channels.
+154%
ChatGPT referral sessions
659 to 1,677 (GA4). A new "AI referrals" source in HubSpot booked its first 13 contacts.
+21.6%
Organic traffic, May year on year
SEMrush UK. The 2025 monthly decline reversed into steady 2026 growth.
What this means. The year-to-date picture is a successful rebalancing. We have not bought more demand; we have earned a larger share of the same demand, while reducing spend on paid search. That is the strategically valuable outcome, and it is visible across four independent data sources.
SEO

Organic search reversed direction

In the first half of 2025, organic traffic declined month on month. In 2026 it climbed every month, and the year-on-year gap widened as the period went on. Three independent sources agree on the direction.

UK organic traffic, monthly (SEMrush estimate)

20252026
16,00018,00020,00022,00024,000JanFebMarAprMay19,80419,33919,43319,21718,23320,49321,46621,84122,15522,171

Tracked organic keywords (SEMrush)

20252026
05251,0501,5752,1001,3321,657Jan1,3831,941Feb1,3171,868Mar1,4041,817Apr1,2391,660May

Year-on-year traffic gap, by month

Month20252026Change
January19,80420,493+3.5%
February19,33921,466+11.0%
March19,43321,841+12.4%
April19,21722,155+15.3%
May18,23322,171+21.6%

Authority improved over the same window: SEMrush domain rank moved from about 26,475 to 23,391 (lower is better).

Search Console, 2026 to date

Metric1 Jan to 15 Jun 2026
Clicks46,300
Impressions3.88m
Average CTR1.2%
Average position22.8
Branded share of clicks~54%

Property: www.joblogic.com. A clean year-on-year view is not possible in Search Console because data retention is limited to 16 months, so January 2025 is out of range. SEMrush and HubSpot carry the year-on-year comparison instead.

⚠ A number to handle with care
GA4 reports the Organic Search channel up +40% year on year (681,412 to 955,761 sessions). That figure should not be read as an SEO result. About 94% of it is google-play / organic, which is app store traffic, not web search. Strip that out and GA4 web organic is roughly 60,000 sessions, which reconciles with Search Console's 46,300 clicks. The honest SEO story is the SEMrush trajectory and the HubSpot contact growth, not the GA4 channel total.
Read. Organic search is the clearest win of the year. The decline of 2025 has reversed, keyword coverage is up by roughly a third, and the channel is now producing more than three times the first-touch contacts it did a year ago.
AEO and GEO

A new channel, caught at birth

AI search visibility is a 2026 capability, so there is no fair 2025 comparison. AirOps tracking began on 9 February 2026. What we can show is the trajectory since, plus the first traffic and the first contacts arriving from AI assistants.

Share of voice and citation volume (AirOps, UK)

Citations (right)Share of voice % (left)
015304560010,00020,00030,00040,0001,986Mar25,308Apr38,209May13,188Jun (part)38%45%45%33%

Generic category prompts, measured against eight tracked competitors across 345 prompts. June is a partial month to the 17th, which lowers the bar.

AI referral sessions, year on year (GA4)

20252026
04509001,3501,8006591,677ChatGPT837Perplexity

ChatGPT key events rose from 2 to 17 over the same window. Gemini and Copilot are present but small, and Gemini can misattribute to gstatic.com, so they are excluded from this view.

~45%
Share of voice, Apr to May
Against ServiceTitan, Simpro, BigChange, Jobber and four others.
+154%
ChatGPT referral sessions
659 to 1,677 year on year.
13
Contacts from the new AI referrals source
Zero in 2025. The channel did not exist a year ago.
38,209
AI citations in May
Up from about 2,000 in March as coverage scaled.
Read. The numbers are small, and that is the point. This is a channel being born. We hold a strong share of voice against the named competitors, traffic is growing fast off a low base, and it has started producing contacts. Worth reporting as an early indicator, not yet as a revenue line.
CRO

Conversion volume up, measurement still maturing

Conversions grew modestly in absolute terms. Sitewide conversion rate is not a reliable headline this year for two specific reasons, both noted below, so this section leads on absolute key events and HubSpot contacts.

GA4 key events, year on year

Segment20252026Change
All key events18,54519,410+4.7%
Organic search key events6,6636,970+4.6%
Engagement rate84.7%87.9%+3.8%
Avg engagement time / session4m 46s4m 59s+4.6%

Why sitewide CVR is parked this period

Direct traffic inflation. Direct is 83% of GA4 sessions (5.87m of 7.05m), well above any believable human level for a UK B2B site. That bot and dark traffic sits in the denominator and makes any sitewide rate meaningless.

Demo page tracking gap. The new demo booking pages record close to zero conversions in GA4 while HubSpot sees roughly 15. Until that gap is fixed, a sitewide rate understates real performance.

Read. The signals that are trustworthy all point up: more key events, higher engagement, and a steady rise in organic and earned contacts. The honest move is to fix the tracking before quoting a sitewide conversion rate.
Attribution

Credit is moving from paid to earned

Whether you look at the first touch or the last, the pattern is the same. Organic and earned channels gained; paid search fell by the same 38% on both models. HubSpot, contacts created in the period. The chart shows the marketing-influenced channels only.

First-touch contacts by source, year on year

20252026
05251,0501,5752,10060218Organic search435588Referrals013AI referrals2,0101,253Paid search213Paid social2915Email

Earned versus paid (first touch)

Group20252026Change
Earned (organic, social, referral, AI)495824+66%
Paid (search and social)2,0121,266-37%

Offline and Direct are excluded from this view. Offline is inflated by the historic Clik and Protean CSV imports, and Direct last-touch is a known measurement artefact, so neither is a reliable performance signal. Paid search is the cleanest attribution signal in the portal.

Read. Earned channels grew two thirds while paid was cut by over a third. The marketing-influenced mix is shifting decisively toward channels that compound rather than channels we rent.
Method

Sources, windows and caveats

Every figure here is traceable to a named source and an explicit date window. The caveats are stated up front so nothing unravels in the room.